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HIV Diagnostic Tests in Low and Middle Income Countries: Forecasts of Global Demand for 2014-2018

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Geneva, WHO, 2015

This report provides projections of the future demand for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) diagnostic tests. These projections are intended to inform advocacy for the scale up of access to diagnostics, so that the UNAIDS 90-90-90 targets for HIV treatment access can be met. They will likely also be useful for producers, enabling them to plan for adequate supply and to procurement organizations in planning future funding and long-term purchase plans.

The projections rely on data from a number of different sources including an annual country survey conducted by the World Health Organization (WHO), purchases reported to the Global Price Reporting Mechanism, data on past use provided by the Clinton Health Access Initiative (CHAI) for 21 high-burden countries, and purchase data from United States President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR)
programmes supported by the Partnership for Supply Chain Management (PFSCM).

Also included are projections prepared by CHAI for 21 high burden countries adjusted to represent global demand and projections of future purchases for PEPFAR by PFSCM.